Note: Jump to 03:45 in the video
Chris Gursansky’s 46-30-(Net Positive), 100 DTE, /CL Options Study
Entry:
- The last touch of 20 Period Donchian (Price) Channel was on the upside (this was verified by Chris after the meeting)
- First expiration more than 100 DTE
- Put Broken Wing Butterfly
- Upper and Middle strikes nearest to 46 and 30 Delta
- Lower strike at the first strike that gives you a net positive Delta (around 14 Delta)
Exit:
- When short is <20 or >50 Delta
- No profit target or minimum DTE
Portfolio trend/momentum study:
This is an early stage study of directional trend and momentum filtering on a basket of low correlation assets. The chart below is for the underlying signals only. I highly suspect that converting this to cash-secured short premium will improve results.
The basket includes GLD, TLT, SPY, SLV, IWM, and DTO. (I forgot to include USO.)
Plain English description: If above the 200-day average, then buy the 20-day upper Price/Donchian channel. Share size = 10,000/Channel Height, representing a 10,000 stop loss at the other side of the channel.
This study was completed using Portfolio Maestro inside of Tradestation. EasyLanguage Code:
Inputs: LB(10); Vars: udc(0), ldc(0), size(0); udc = highest(h,lb)[1]; ldc = lowest(l,lb)[1]; size = 10000/(udc-ldc); if C > average(c,200) then Buy size shares next bar udc stop; Sell next bar ldc stop;