Experience Trading Bliss

Trading is a series of if/then scenarios… If this price is hit, then buy If this level is crossed, then sell Etc… But, if you trade manually, somewhere between “If” and “Then” something happens… A moment of friction. During the simple process of filling out the order ticket, you are given the opportunity to reconsider …

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The win rate distraction and the truth behind consistent returns.

Many traders and investors are desperately hunting for a “high win rate” or “high probability strategies”.  I was once very attracted to the notion of winning 80%, 90%, 95% even 99% of trades.  But what if your 90% win-rate still left you with losses?  It’s not that hard to imagine and many traders and investors …

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Markets Update

The stock market is shacking off a lot of uncertainty indicating no short term reason to expect sideways or bearish price action. We’re at 33% long exposure to long equities (with a normal range of 15% to 50%). Chasing strength in the stock market is a bit risky at this point, but we can turn …

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Target Volatility Tip

You can use recent historic volatility to help you be more consistently profitable in your trading and investing. This video will show you proof using 20 years of market data. This is a simple tool that you can begin using immediately to take less risk and have more consistent returns. Send me an email with …

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What Is True Diversification?

I often reference the concept of True Diversification to my clients and fellow traders.  Which often brings back questions about the meaning of that term. First we’ll contrast true diversification to traditional diversification, which is simply owning/investing in a lot of different things.  True diversification goes beyond “owning” and brings in short selling, income strategies, directional, multiple time frames, multiple strategy types, …

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This is one of my favorite graphics — showing how quickly yesterday’s predictions are forgotten while attention shifts to the next big, bold, and exciting prediction. I have no predictions for you. It’s entirely possible to navigate the market without trying to predict — or trying to predict which experts are going to be right. …

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